Twins vs. Mets Prediction Today, Lineup, Best Picks, Odds, Last Game – MLB 4/22/2026

The Minnesota Twins take on the New York Mets at Citi Field in a game that has quickly turned into a pressure situation for the home team. The Mets are struggling badly, coming into this matchup after a long losing streak that has affected both their confidence and performance. Even in their last game, they showed signs of improvement by taking an early lead, but once again failed to finish strong and lost late.

On the other hand, the Twins are playing more balanced baseball, showing patience and composure even when trailing. This game now becomes crucial for New York as they try to stop the slide, especially with key players returning to the lineup. However, Minnesota will look to take advantage of the situation and continue their steady form. With a strong starting pitcher for the Mets but inconsistent batting, and an untested starter for the Twins, this matchup is expected to be competitive and tactical rather than one-sided.

Match Information

Match	Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets
League	MLB 2026
Date	April 22, 2026
Time	7:10 PM ET
Venue	Citi Field
Location	New York
Broadcast	SNY, Twins.TV

Team Records

Team	Record	Recent Form
Minnesota Twins	12–11	Stable
New York Mets	7–16	Poor

The Mets are under heavy pressure due to their losing run, while the Twins are slightly above average this season.

Twins vs Mets Preview

Minnesota showed strong character in the previous game by coming back from behind and winning late. Their approach has been calm and structured, focusing on building innings rather than playing risky shots. Players like Byron Buxton have stepped up at key moments, helping the team convert close matches into wins.

The Mets, however, are going through a very difficult phase. Despite having quality players, they are struggling to score runs consistently. Their recent performances show a clear problem in finishing games, especially in the final innings where they have lost control multiple times.

One positive for New York is the return of an important batter to the lineup, which could add some much-needed depth. However, it remains to be seen whether this change is enough to improve their overall performance quickly.

Recent Form

Minnesota Twins Last 5 Games

Date	Opponent	Result
Apr 22	Mets	W
Apr 19	Reds	L
Apr 18	Reds	L
Apr 18	Reds	L
Apr 15	Red Sox	L

The Twins have mixed results but showed strong character in the latest win.

New York Mets Last 5 Games

Date	Opponent	Result
Apr 22	Twins	L
Apr 19	Cubs	L
Apr 18	Cubs	L
Apr 17	Cubs	L
Apr 16	Dodgers	L

The Mets are on a long losing streak and need a strong turnaround.

Head-to-Head Record

Category	Result
Recent Meetings	Close contest
Last Match	Twins won 5–3
Scoring Pattern	Moderate scoring

Recent games between these teams have not been very high scoring.

Probable Starting Pitchers

Team	Pitcher	Record	ERA
Twins	Connor Prielipp	Debut	—
Mets	Clay Holmes	2–2	1.96

Clay Holmes has been one of the few bright spots for the Mets this season, while the Twins are going with a young pitcher making his debut.

Projected Starting Lineups

Minnesota Twins

Position	Player
CF	Byron Buxton
SS	Carlos Correa
1B	Alex Kirilloff
DH	Royce Lewis
RF	Max Kepler
LF	Trevor Larnach
2B	Edouard Julien
C	Ryan Jeffers
3B	Jose Miranda

New York Mets

Position	Player
SS	Francisco Lindor
RF	Juan Soto
CF	Luis Robert Jr.
1B	Pete Alonso
DH	Starling Marte
3B	Brett Baty
2B	Jeff McNeil
C	Francisco Alvarez
LF	Brandon Nimmo

The Mets lineup looks stronger with key players returning, but consistency remains the main issue.

Key Players to Watch

Minnesota Twins

Player	Impact
Byron Buxton	Match-winner in last game
Carlos Correa	Stability in batting
Royce Lewis	Strong middle-order presence

Minnesota relies on team effort rather than individual brilliance.

New York Mets

Player	Impact
Juan Soto	Big boost to batting
Pete Alonso	Power hitter
Francisco Lindor	Key playmaker

The Mets need their top players to perform together.

Team Performance Comparison

Category	Twins	Mets
Batting	Balanced	Struggling
Pitching	Average	Strong starter
Momentum	Positive	Negative
Home Advantage	No	Yes

The Mets have a strong pitcher but lack momentum, while the Twins look more stable overall.

Betting Odds

Market	Odds
Moneyline	Twins +134
Moneyline	Mets -158
Run Line	Mets -1.5 (+140)
Run Line	Twins +1.5 (-170)
Total	7.5 Runs

The odds favor the Mets mainly due to home advantage and pitching strength.

Best Player Prop Picks

Player	Prop Bet
Luis Robert Jr.	Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI
Juan Soto	Impact return expected

Individual player performance could be crucial in this low-scoring matchup.

Best Picks for the Game

Market	Pick
Moneyline	Twins +134
Total Runs	Under 7.5
Lean	Close game

The value is on the Twins as underdogs due to the Mets’ poor form.

Predicted Score

Team	Predicted Score
Minnesota Twins	4
New York Mets	3

Final Prediction

This game is more about mindset and execution than raw talent. The Mets have the better starting pitcher and are playing at home, but their recent performances show a clear lack of confidence and finishing ability. Even with key players returning, it may take time for them to find rhythm again.

The Twins, on the other hand, are playing more controlled and composed cricket, focusing on small moments that decide matches. Their ability to stay calm under pressure was clearly visible in the last game, and that gives them an advantage in tight situations.

Overall, this looks like a low-scoring and closely fought match where every run will matter. The Mets might improve, but until they show consistent performance, backing the Twins as underdogs appears to be the safer and smarter choice.