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    Home»MLB»Mets vs Athletics Prediction: Pitchers, Odds, Team Records & Best Picks – MLB April 11, 2026
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    Mets vs Athletics Prediction: Pitchers, Odds, Team Records & Best Picks – MLB April 11, 2026

    Sports TeamBy Sports TeamApril 11, 2026No Comments5 Mins Read
    Mets vs Athletics
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    The New York Mets host the Oakland Athletics at Citi Field in Flushing, New York, for the second game of their MLB series on Saturday, April 11, 2026. Both teams enter the matchup with similar early-season records, making this contest important as they try to build momentum.

    New York currently sits 7–7 and third in the NL East, while Oakland comes in at 6–7 and third in the AL West. The Mets are slight favorites playing at home, but the Athletics have shown enough competitiveness this season to keep the matchup interesting.

    A major storyline heading into the game is the pitching duel between Kodai Senga and Jacob Lopez, along with the Mets monitoring the condition of pitcher Clay Holmes, who recently exited a game with hamstring tightness but remains optimistic about returning quickly.

    Oakland Athletics vs New York Mets Match Details

    MatchOakland Athletics vs New York Mets
    LeagueMLB 2026 Season
    DateApril 11, 2026
    Time4:10 PM ET
    VenueCiti Field, Flushing, Queens, New York
    WeatherAround 62–65°F, clear conditions
    BroadcastSNY, NBCSCA

    The game is part of an interleague series and could play a role in shaping early-season confidence for both clubs.

    Current Season Records

    TeamRecordDivision Rank
    New York Mets7–73rd in NL East
    Oakland Athletics6–73rd in AL West

    Both teams are still trying to establish consistency in the early stages of the season. The Mets have been solid but slightly inconsistent, while the Athletics have shown flashes of competitiveness despite offensive struggles.

    Starting Pitchers

    TeamPitcherW-LERAStrikeoutsWHIP
    AthleticsJacob Lopez (LHP)0–16.4862.28
    MetsKodai Senga (RHP)0–13.09161.20

    Kodai Senga has been impressive in the early part of the season. In just 11⅔ innings, he has already recorded 16 strikeouts, showing strong command and swing-and-miss ability. His strikeout rate ranks among the better marks in the league among pitchers with at least 10 innings pitched.

    His fastball velocity has also increased compared to last season, and hitters have been swinging and missing more frequently. This suggests the right-hander has fully recovered from the hamstring issue that affected him during the 2025 season.

    Jacob Lopez, meanwhile, is still searching for rhythm early in the year. The left-hander has struggled with command and run prevention, and facing a Mets lineup at Citi Field will be another tough challenge.

    Mets Rotation Update: Clay Holmes Injury Situation

    The Mets recently had a brief scare when Clay Holmes left a game with left hamstring tightness. However, both Holmes and the team expressed confidence that the issue is not serious.

    Before exiting the game, Holmes delivered another solid performance:

    PitcherInningsRuns AllowedHitsStrikeoutsWalks
    Clay Holmes5.11533

    Holmes has been one of the Mets’ most consistent pitchers early in the season. Across his first two starts prior to the injury scare, he had allowed just two runs in 13.2 innings. The team will monitor his recovery over the next few days before confirming his next start.

    Athletics Offensive Struggles

    Oakland’s biggest challenge this season has been hitting consistency. The Athletics lineup has struggled to generate runs and has also struck out frequently.

    Offensive MetricAthletics
    Team Strikeout Rate28.9%
    League Ranking2nd Highest
    Team Offensive Rating88 wRC+

    High strikeout numbers could become an even bigger issue against Senga, who has already shown strong strikeout ability this season.

    Another challenge for Oakland is the absence of Brent Rooker, a key outfielder who is expected to miss some time after tweaking his back.

    Betting Odds

    MarketAthleticsMets
    Spread+1.5-1.5
    Moneyline+134 to +135-158 to -160
    Over/Under–7.5 Runs

    The Mets enter the game as favorites due to home-field advantage and stronger pitching, but the Athletics remain capable of pulling off an upset if their offense finds momentum.

    Team Performance Trends

    Athletics Betting Trends

    CategoryRecord
    Run Line8–5
    Moneyline6–7
    Over4–8
    Under8–4

    Mets Betting Trends

    CategoryRecord
    Run Line6–8
    Moneyline7–7
    Over6–6
    Under6–6

    Oakland has performed slightly better against the run line this season, while the Mets have been close to .500 in most betting categories.

    Key Players to Watch

    New York Mets

    PlayerRole
    Kodai SengaStrikeout-heavy starting pitcher
    Juan SotoPower hitter capable of changing games
    Clay HolmesImportant rotation arm

    Oakland Athletics

    PlayerRole
    Jacob LopezStarting pitcher
    Athletics lineupNeeds improved hitting consistency

    The Mets will likely rely heavily on Senga’s ability to control the game early, while Oakland needs stronger offensive production to stay competitive.

    Best Betting Picks

    Pick TypeSelection
    Match WinnerNew York Mets
    Total RunsUnder 7.5
    Player PropKodai Senga Over 6.5 Strikeouts

    Senga’s strikeout ability combined with Oakland’s high strikeout rate makes the strikeout prop particularly attractive in this matchup.

    Match Prediction

    The Mets appear to have the edge entering this matchup. Kodai Senga has shown strong form early in the season, and Oakland’s lineup has struggled to generate offense consistently. The Athletics will need a big performance from Jacob Lopez and improved hitting to challenge the Mets on the road.

    New York also benefits from playing at Citi Field and having a deeper pitching staff despite recent injury concerns. If Senga continues his strong strikeout form and the Mets offense produces timely runs, the home team should control most of the game.

    Oakland still has the ability to compete, but the Mets’ pitching advantage gives them the upper hand in this matchup.

    Predicted Score:
    Mets 5 – Athletics 3

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