The Minnesota Timberwolves host the Memphis Grizzlies at Target Center on March 3, 2026, in a Western Conference matchup that features two teams heading in opposite directions late in the season. Minnesota is currently pushing for a strong playoff position and has been in excellent form over the past few weeks. Memphis, meanwhile, has struggled with injuries and inconsistent performances and is trying to stay competitive despite a depleted roster.
Minnesota enters this matchup with momentum after a successful road trip that included victories over several strong opponents. The Timberwolves have been playing balanced basketball, combining efficient offense with improved defense. Superstar Anthony Edwards continues to lead the scoring, while Rudy Gobert anchors the paint with strong rebounding and rim protection. Supporting players like Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels, and Donte DiVincenzo provide additional scoring depth and defensive stability.
The Grizzlies have been dealing with several major injuries, including the absence of star guard Ja Morant, which has significantly affected their offense. Memphis has relied more on collective scoring and fast-paced play, but their defense has been inconsistent. Despite recent wins against Dallas and Indiana, the team still faces a difficult challenge against a healthy Minnesota squad at home.
This preview includes current standings, recent team form, injury updates, key player statistics, head-to-head results, and the best betting picks for tonight’s NBA matchup.
Match Information
| Match | Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves |
|---|---|
| Date | March 3, 2026 |
| Time | 8:00 PM ET |
| Venue | Target Center, Minneapolis |
| TV | FDSN North, FDSN SE-Memphis |
| Spread | Timberwolves -14 to -15 |
| Over/Under | 237 – 238 |
Current Standings & Team Stats
| Team | Record | Win % | Points Per Game | Points Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | 23-36 | 39% | 115.8 | 117.7 |
| Timberwolves | 38-23 | 62% | 119.1 | 114.4 |
Recent Form (Last 5 Games)
| Team | Record | Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | 2-3 | Inconsistent |
| Timberwolves | 4-1 | Strong momentum |
Minnesota recently defeated Denver, the Clippers, and Portland, showing strong defensive improvements. Memphis managed two recent wins but has struggled to maintain consistency throughout the season.
Also see: Spurs vs 76ers Prediction: Last Games, Injury Report, Player Stats, H2H, Best Picks
Where to Watch Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Live Streaming – March 3, 2026 (8 PM ET)
Injury Report
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | Status |
|---|---|
| Ja Morant | Out – Elbow |
| Brandon Clarke | Out – Calf |
| Zach Edey | Out – Ankle |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | Out – Finger |
| Taj Gibson | Out |
| Ty Jerome | Day-to-day |
| Cedric Coward | Day-to-day |
| Santi Aldama | Day-to-day |
Memphis is heavily impacted by injuries, especially in the backcourt and frontcourt rotation.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | Status |
|---|---|
| No major injuries | Full roster available |
Minnesota enters the game with a healthy lineup, which gives them a significant advantage.
Key Player Stats (Season Impact)
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 29.5 | 6 | 5 |
| Julius Randle | 21.5 | 9 | 4 |
| Rudy Gobert | 15+ | 12+ | 2 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 14+ | 5 | 2 |
Edwards continues to lead Minnesota’s offense, while Gobert dominates inside with rebounding and defensive presence.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. | 19+ | 7 | 2 |
| Jaylen Wells | 12+ | 3 | 2 |
| Santi Aldama | 11+ | 6 | 2 |
Memphis relies more on balanced scoring since Morant’s absence.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Category | Result |
|---|---|
| Total meetings | 57 |
| Grizzlies wins | 36 |
| Timberwolves wins | 21 |
| Last meeting | Grizzlies won 137-128 |
Memphis has historically had the upper hand in the series, although Minnesota has improved significantly in recent seasons.
Also see: Hugo González Makes Celtics History With Monster Double-Double in Blowout Win Over Bucks
Betting Trends
- Timberwolves are 20-11 at home this season
- Memphis has won only 3 of its last 10 games
- Minnesota averages 119+ points per game
- Recent meetings between these teams often produce high scoring totals
Best Picks for Timberwolves vs Grizzlies
| Market | Pick |
|---|---|
| Spread | Timberwolves -14 |
| Total | Over 234.5 |
| Player Prop | Rudy Gobert Over 11.5 Points |
| Player Prop | Rudy Gobert Over 12.5 Rebounds |
| Moneyline | Timberwolves to Win |
Match Prediction
Minnesota has the advantage in almost every area heading into this matchup. The Timberwolves are healthier, playing better basketball recently, and have a strong home record.
Without Ja Morant, Memphis may struggle to create consistent offense against Minnesota’s defense. The Timberwolves should control the game inside the paint, with Gobert dominating the boards and Edwards leading the scoring.
Predicted Score:
Timberwolves 126 – Grizzlies 108
The Timberwolves look like the stronger team in this matchup and should have little trouble controlling the game at home. Memphis’ injuries and defensive weaknesses make it difficult for them to keep pace with Minnesota’s offense.
Expect the Timberwolves to dominate the interior, push the tempo, and secure a comfortable win while the total could reach a high scoring number.
