The Golden State Warriors travel to face the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum on February 25, 2026, in a Western Conference matchup where both teams are dealing with injuries but heading in very different directions. Golden State is still fighting to stay in the playoff race, while Memphis continues to struggle near the bottom of the standings and is trying to rebuild momentum after a difficult stretch.
The Warriors enter this game as slight road favorites despite missing key star players. Their strength lies in ball movement, defense, and experience, which has helped them stay competitive throughout the season. Memphis, on the other hand, has been hit hard by injuries to several core players, affecting both scoring consistency and defensive stability.
Both teams have shown a trend toward high-scoring games recently, and their earlier meetings this season were competitive. This preview includes match details, standings, recent form, injury updates, key player performance, head-to-head trends, and the best betting picks for tonight’s matchup.
Match Information
| Match | Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies |
|---|---|
| Date | February 25, 2026 |
| Time | 7:30 PM ET |
| Venue | FedExForum, Memphis |
| TV | NBC Sports Bay Area, FDSN Southeast |
| Spread | Warriors -3.5 |
| Over/Under | 229.5 – 230.5 |
| Moneyline | Warriors around -170 to -175 |
Current Standings & Team Stats
| Team | Record | Win % | PPG | Points Allowed | Net Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | 30-28 | 51.7% | 115.5 | 113.9 | Playoff race |
| Grizzlies | 21-35 | 37.5% | 115.5 | 117.8 | Struggling season |
Recent Form (Last 10 Games)
| Team | Last 10 | ATS | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | 4-6 | 3-7 | Inconsistent, struggling on the road |
| Grizzlies | 3-7 | 6-4 | Losing games but competitive against spread |
Golden State has struggled recently but remains motivated due to playoff positioning. Memphis has lost six of its last seven games but has managed to stay competitive in several matchups.
Injury Report
Golden State Warriors
| Player | Status |
|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | Out – Knee |
| Jimmy Butler III | Out for season – ACL |
| Kristaps Porzingis | Out – Achilles/Illness |
| Seth Curry | Out – Back |
| Al Horford | Day-to-day – Toe |
| Draymond Green | Questionable |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | Status |
|---|---|
| Ja Morant | Out – Elbow |
| Santi Aldama | Out – Knee |
| Brandon Clarke | Out – Calf |
| Zach Edey | Out – Ankle |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | Out for season |
| Kyle Anderson | Day-to-day – Knee |
| Cedric Coward | Out – Knee |
Key Player Season Stats
Golden State Warriors
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski | 12.2 | 5.0 | 3.7 |
| Moses Moody | 11.9 | 3.4 | 1.6 |
| Draymond Green | 8.5 | 5.7 | 5.1 |
| Al Horford | 7.9 | 4.9 | 2.5 |
With Stephen Curry out, Draymond Green has taken a bigger offensive and playmaking role in recent games.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spencer | 11.3 | 2.7 | 5.6 |
| Jaylen Wells | 12.3 | 3.4 | 1.7 |
| GG Jackson | 10.0 | 3.8 | 1.3 |
| Taylor Hendricks | 5.6 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
Memphis relies on young players and role contributors due to multiple injuries to its primary stars.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Category | Result |
|---|---|
| Season Series | Warriors lead 2-0 |
| Last Meetings | 131-118, 114-113 (GSW wins) |
| Recent Trend | Warriors dominance |
| Scoring Trend | Both teams averaging 230+ combined points |
Golden State has won four straight meetings against Memphis, including both matchups this season.
Betting Trends
- Combined scoring average: 231+ points
- Warriors games hit the Over in nearly 59% of the season
- Memphis has allowed 122+ points in 3 of last 4 games
- Warriors are 18-10 when scoring 118+ points
- Both teams’ defenses have struggled recently
Best Picks for Warriors vs Grizzlies
| Market | Pick |
|---|---|
| Spread | Warriors -3.5 |
| Total | Over 230.5 |
| Player Prop | Draymond Green Over 10.5 Points |
| Player Prop | Moses Moody Over Points |
| Moneyline | Warriors to Win |
Match Prediction
Even without Stephen Curry, the Warriors have more experience, better structure, and a stronger overall defensive system. Memphis’ injury problems and recent losing streak make it difficult for them to keep up over four quarters. However, the Grizzlies’ fast pace and weak defense could lead to a high-scoring game.
Predicted Score:
Warriors 119 – Grizzlies 113
Golden State’s depth, experience, and recent head-to-head success give them the advantage in this matchup. Memphis is short-handed and struggling defensively, which should allow the Warriors to control the game. Expect Golden State to cover the small spread, while the pace and defensive issues point toward the Over.
